Match

SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst

SC St. TönisSW Essen

The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen?

SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,707).

58%20%22%
SC St. Tönis winDrawSW Essen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC St. Tönis

4-3-3
  1. 12M. Heffungs
  2. 15F. Omorou
  3. 25B. Brusdeilins
  1. 33Jonas Theuerzeit
  2. 14K. Nakano
  3. 26L. Castrop
  1. 28F. Okihara
  2. 24M. Pohlig
  3. 4M. Darwish
  4. 6L. Esposito
  1. 1S. Sell

SW Essen

Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 08:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SW Essen have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC St. Tönis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 18, 2026Holzheimer SG(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 11, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)2-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 2, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 27, 2026Büderich(home)4-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
SW Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Schonnebeck(home)1-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(away)0-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 10, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)0-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 2, 2026Monheim(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 27, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home)1-3Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC St. Tönis wins, 1 draw, 1 SW Essen win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026SW Essen 1-4 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 28, 2025SC St. Tönis 4-2 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein
May 4, 2025SW Essen 3-2 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 10, 2024SC St. Tönis 2-2 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein
May 12, 2024SW Essen 2-3 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 19, 2023SC St. Tönis 2-1 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SC St. Tönis on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC St. Tönis score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.3 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC St. Tönis1.52.5210/1510/15
SW Essen1.32.9111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC St. Tönis sit 4th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (14 points from 8 matches) and SW Essen sit 15th (6 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4SC St. Tönis8422171214
15SW Essen813411186

A question about SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen?
The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for SW Essen.
Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen played?
SC St. Tönis vs SW Essen is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC St. Tönis and SW Essen

Ready to know everything about football?