SW Essen vs Schonnebeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab AI model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 8% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs Schonnebeck?
Schonnebeck starts as the favourite with a 291-point Elo edge (2,030 vs 1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SW Essen vs Schonnebeck
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SW Essen
Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.
Schonnebeck
Not enough data to predict the Schonnebeck lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Schonnebeck have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Scherpenberg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SW Essen wins, 0 draws, 4 Schonnebeck wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | SW Essen 0-4 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Schonnebeck 3-5 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | SW Essen 4-1 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Schonnebeck 2-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Schonnebeck 5-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 15, 2023 | SW Essen 2-6 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Schonnebeck on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.2 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Schonnebeck score 3.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Schonnebeck | 3.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 8 matches) and Schonnebeck sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 9 | 22 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about SW Essen vs Schonnebeck?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Schonnebeck?
- The Footlab AI model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 8% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs Schonnebeck played?
- SW Essen vs Schonnebeck is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSC St. Tönis
- Oct 24, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsMonheim
- Oct 25, 2026SF BaumbergvsBW Dingden
- Oct 25, 2026SSVg VelbertvsHolzheimer SG
- Oct 25, 2026MeerbuschvsGermania Ratingen
- Oct 25, 2026SonsbeckvsWuppertaler SV
- Oct 25, 2026ScherpenbergvsBüderich
- Oct 25, 2026Solingen-WaldvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.