SW Essen vs Schonnebeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs Schonnebeck?
Schonnebeck starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Schonnebeck have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 30, 2026 | Homberg(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SW Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Schonnebeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | SW Essen 0-4 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Schonnebeck 3-5 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | SW Essen 4-1 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Schonnebeck 2-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Schonnebeck 5-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 15, 2023 | SW Essen 2-6 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Schonnebeck on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Schonnebeck score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Schonnebeck | 3.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Schonnebeck sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Schonnebeck | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Schonnebeck?
- The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs Schonnebeck played?
- SW Essen vs Schonnebeck is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSC St. Tönis
- Oct 23, 2026SSVg VelbertvsHolzheimer SG
- Oct 24, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsMonheim
- Oct 25, 2026SF BaumbergvsBW Dingden
- Oct 25, 2026MeerbuschvsGermania Ratingen
- Oct 25, 2026SonsbeckvsWuppertaler SV
- Oct 25, 2026ScherpenbergvsBüderich
- Oct 25, 2026Solingen-WaldvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.