Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG played?

SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert

SSVg Velbert

Holzheimer SG

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG?

SSVg Velbert starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,709).

SSVg Velbert win54 %

Draw21 %

Holzheimer SG win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSVg Velbert
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SW Essen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026	Wuppertaler SV(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	0-8	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026	Paderborn II(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - West

Holzheimer SG
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Solingen-Wald(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026	KFC Uerdingen 05(home)	1-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026	Schonnebeck(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	BW Dingden(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026	Germania Ratingen(home)	2-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein

How many goals should we expect?

SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SSVg Velbert	1.3	2.1	2	10/15	10/15
Holzheimer SG	1.4	2.5	3	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SSVg Velbert	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
17	Holzheimer SG	2	0	0	2	2	7	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG?: The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Holzheimer SG.
Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG played?: SSVg Velbert vs Holzheimer SG is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.