Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?

Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock

Hansa Rostock

Fortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,984) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).

Hansa Rostock win52 %

Draw23 %

Fortuna Düsseldorf win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hansa Rostock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	VfB Stuttgart(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(home)	3-3	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Hoffenheim II(away)	3-2	3. Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Neustrelitz(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hansa Rostock win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 25, 2024	Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hansa Rostock	2. Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2023	Hansa Rostock 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga
Mar 19, 2023	Hansa Rostock 2-5 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2022	Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 Hansa Rostock	2. Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2022	Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 Hansa Rostock	2. Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2021	Hansa Rostock 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock on Feb 25, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hansa Rostock	2.5	2.1	3	10/15	13/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	6	5	4
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?: The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?: Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.