Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Havelse: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Havelse?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911) and Havelse (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Havelse have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Havelse | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Havelse sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Havelse?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Havelse played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Havelse is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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