Match

Verl vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

VerlFC Saarbrücken

The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs FC Saarbrücken?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Verl (1,953) and FC Saarbrücken (1,912).

Verl win52 %
Draw23 %
FC Saarbrücken win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs
FC Saarbrücken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)5-23. Liga
Jul 26, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Verl win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Saarbrücken win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Verl 3-0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Oct 18, 2025FC Saarbrücken 2-4 Verl3. Liga
May 3, 2025FC Saarbrücken 4-3 Verl3. Liga
Dec 6, 2024Verl 1-1 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Jan 23, 2024Verl 0-0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Aug 23, 2023FC Saarbrücken 4-3 Verl3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Verl vs FC Saarbrücken on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verl1.51.746/1510/15
FC Saarbrücken1.51.359/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Saarbrücken2200626
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs FC Saarbrücken?
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is Verl vs FC Saarbrücken played?
Verl vs FC Saarbrücken is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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