Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,984) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hansa Rostock win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 2-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| May 7, 2022 | FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Hansa Rostock 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
- Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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