Match

Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock

Hansa RostockFC Ingolstadt 04

The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,984) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).

Hansa Rostock win52 %
Draw22 %
FC Ingolstadt 04 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hansa Rostock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(home)3-33. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Hoffenheim II(away)3-23. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hansa Rostock win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Hansa Rostock 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Aug 24, 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
Mar 8, 2025Hansa Rostock 2-0 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Sep 29, 2024FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
May 7, 2022FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 Hansa Rostock2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2021Hansa Rostock 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 042. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hansa Rostock2.52.1310/1513/15
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hansa Rostock2110654
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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