Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Preußen Münster win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fortuna Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Preußen Münster 1-3 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Fortuna Köln 1-3 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Fortuna Köln 3-2 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2021 | Preußen Münster 3-1 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Fortuna Köln 2-0 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln on Apr 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln played?
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsMSV Duisburg
- Oct 24, 2026SV MeppenvsWürzburger Kickers
- Oct 24, 2026SV WehenvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Oct 24, 2026Hansa RostockvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Oct 24, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsVerl
- Oct 24, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Oct 24, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsHoffenheim II
- Oct 24, 2026HavelsevsFC Saarbrücken