Fortuna Köln vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Verl?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,037) and Verl (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Verl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2019 | Fortuna Köln 0-2 Verl | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Verl?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Verl.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Verl played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Verl is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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