Match

Fortuna Köln vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna KölnVerl

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Verl?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,037) and Verl (1,952).

Fortuna Köln win54 %
Draw23 %
Verl win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VVV Venlo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Verl win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2019Fortuna Köln 0-2 VerlRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Verl on Sep 20, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln1.71.148/159/15
Verl1.51.746/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Fortuna Köln2011121
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Verl?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Verl.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Verl played?
Fortuna Köln vs Verl is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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