Match

Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg

Würzburger KickersMSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Würzburger Kickers (2,071) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).

Würzburger Kickers win50 %
Draw23 %
MSV Duisburg win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Würzburger Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 20261. FC Köln(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026SV Wehen(home)4-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-23. Liga
Jul 30, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-1Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Würzburger Kickers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 MSV Duisburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 12, 2022Würzburger Kickers 1-2 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Sep 4, 2021MSV Duisburg 2-0 Würzburger Kickers3. Liga
Jun 13, 2020MSV Duisburg 1-1 Würzburger Kickers3. Liga
Oct 26, 2019Würzburger Kickers 0-2 MSV Duisburg3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Würzburger Kickers2.90.8510/1512/15
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
3Würzburger Kickers2110624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for MSV Duisburg.
Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg played?
Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Würzburger Kickers and MSV Duisburg

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