Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Würzburger Kickers (2,071) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 4-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Würzburger Kickers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | Würzburger Kickers 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 4, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 2-0 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Jun 13, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Würzburger Kickers 0-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for MSV Duisburg.
- Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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