Fortuna Köln vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Waldhof Mannheim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Waldhof Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Waldhof Mannheim.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Waldhof Mannheim played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Waldhof Mannheim is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Apr 10, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsSV Meppen
- Apr 10, 2027MSV DuisburgvsPreußen Münster
- Apr 10, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsHansa Rostock
- Apr 10, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Apr 10, 2027Alemannia AachenvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Apr 10, 2027VerlvsStuttgart II
- Apr 10, 2027HavelsevsSV Wehen