Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 25, 2021 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2020 | FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 19, 2017 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 17, 2015 | FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Mar 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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