Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna DüsseldorfFC Ingolstadt 04

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win43 %
Draw24 %
FC Ingolstadt 04 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 6, 2022Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 042. Bundesliga
Sep 25, 2021FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2020FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal
Apr 22, 2018Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 042. Bundesliga
Nov 19, 2017FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
Apr 17, 2015FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Mar 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Ingolstadt 04

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