Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Neuer Tivoli, Aachen
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Alemannia Aachen (2,027) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alemannia Aachen have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alemannia Aachen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen 3-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-3 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Alemannia Aachen 2-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Alemannia Aachen 1-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alemannia Aachen sit 4th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
- Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Apr 10, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsSV Meppen
- Apr 10, 2027MSV DuisburgvsPreußen Münster
- Apr 10, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsHansa Rostock
- Apr 10, 2027Fortuna KölnvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Apr 10, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Apr 10, 2027VerlvsStuttgart II
- Apr 10, 2027HavelsevsSV Wehen