Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Bayern Hof. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Fortuna Regensburg (1,777) and Bayern Hof (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Bayern Hof have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Großbardorf(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Regensburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bayern Hof win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Bayern Hof 2-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 2-2 Bayern Hof | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 17, 2025 | Bayern Hof 3-0 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-1 Bayern Hof | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Bayern Hof 1-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-2 Bayern Hof | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Bayern Hof vs Fortuna Regensburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern Hof score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Bayern Hof | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Bayern Hof sit 10th (43 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
| 10 | Bayern Hof | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 56 | 51 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Bayern Hof.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Bayern Hof is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.