Weiden vs Großbardorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Großbardorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiden vs Großbardorf?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Weiden (1,750) and Großbardorf (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Großbardorf have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Weiden win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Großbardorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Großbardorf 3-0 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Weiden 2-4 Großbardorf | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Großbardorf vs Weiden on May 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Großbardorf | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiden vs Großbardorf?
- The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Großbardorf.
- Where and when is Weiden vs Großbardorf played?
- Weiden vs Großbardorf is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 27, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsAmmerthal
- Aug 28, 2026Fortuna RegensburgvsBayern Hof
- Aug 28, 2026StadelnvsKornburg
- Aug 28, 2026GebenbachvsASV Neumarkt
- Aug 28, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsDJK Bamberg
- Aug 29, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsNeudrossenfeld
- Aug 29, 2026Würzburger FVvsCham
- Aug 29, 2026NordlingenvsEintracht Bamberg