Match

Weiden vs Großbardorf: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz

WeidenGroßbardorf

The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Großbardorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weiden vs Großbardorf?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Weiden (1,750) and Großbardorf (1,685).

Weiden win52 %
Draw24 %
Großbardorf win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Großbardorf have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern Hof(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Kornburg(home)2-7Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Ammerthal(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026DJK Bamberg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Großbardorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ingolstadt II(home)0-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Bayern Hof(away)2-5Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Nordlingen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Kornburg(away)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 25, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Weiden win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Großbardorf win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2023Großbardorf 3-0 WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 22, 2022Weiden 2-4 GroßbardorfOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Großbardorf vs Weiden on May 20, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Weiden1.71.9310/1510/15
Großbardorf1.31.474/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Weiden3213118573950

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weiden vs Großbardorf?
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Großbardorf.
Where and when is Weiden vs Großbardorf played?
Weiden vs Großbardorf is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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