Match

Stadeln vs Kornburg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, Fürth

StadelnKornburg

The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stadeln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stadeln vs Kornburg?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Stadeln (1,681) and Kornburg (1,766).

Stadeln win26 %
Draw23 %
Kornburg win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stadeln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kornburg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stadeln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Ammerthal(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026DJK Bamberg(away)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Cham(home)0-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Kornburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Weiden(away)7-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Bayern Hof(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Großbardorf(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stadeln win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kornburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2025Kornburg 1-1 StadelnOberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 26, 2025Stadeln 2-5 KornburgOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Kornburg vs Stadeln on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stadeln score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kornburg score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stadeln1.11.465/156/15
Kornburg1.42.548/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stadeln sit 15th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (35 points from 32 matches) and Kornburg sit 12th (40 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kornburg3291310484940
15Stadeln3211219426535

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stadeln vs Kornburg?
The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stadeln.
Where and when is Stadeln vs Kornburg played?
Stadeln vs Kornburg is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stadeln and Kornburg

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