Stadeln vs Kornburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stadeln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stadeln vs Kornburg?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Stadeln (1,681) and Kornburg (1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stadeln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kornburg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weiden(away) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bayern Hof(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Großbardorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stadeln win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kornburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | Kornburg 1-1 Stadeln | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Stadeln 2-5 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Stadeln score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kornburg score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stadeln | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Kornburg | 1.4 | 2.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stadeln sit 15th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (35 points from 32 matches) and Kornburg sit 12th (40 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kornburg | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 48 | 49 | 40 |
| 15 | Stadeln | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 65 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stadeln vs Kornburg?
- The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stadeln.
- Where and when is Stadeln vs Kornburg played?
- Stadeln vs Kornburg is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 27, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsAmmerthal
- Aug 28, 2026Fortuna RegensburgvsBayern Hof
- Aug 28, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsDJK Bamberg
- Aug 28, 2026GebenbachvsASV Neumarkt
- Aug 29, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsNeudrossenfeld
- Aug 29, 2026Würzburger FVvsCham
- Aug 29, 2026WeidenvsGroßbardorf
- Aug 29, 2026NordlingenvsEintracht Bamberg