Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportgelände Gebenbach, Gebenbach
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt?
Gebenbach starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gebenbach have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; ASV Neumarkt have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gebenbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ASV Neumarkt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt 5-2 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Gebenbach 2-0 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 10, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 0-3 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Gebenbach 3-0 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 18, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 1-4 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gebenbach 6-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: ASV Neumarkt vs Gebenbach on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gebenbach | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gebenbach sit 4th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (53 points from 32 matches) and ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd (59 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt?
- The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt played?
- Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportgelände Gebenbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 27, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsAmmerthal
- Aug 28, 2026Fortuna RegensburgvsBayern Hof
- Aug 28, 2026StadelnvsKornburg
- Aug 28, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsDJK Bamberg
- Aug 29, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsNeudrossenfeld
- Aug 29, 2026Würzburger FVvsCham
- Aug 29, 2026WeidenvsGroßbardorf
- Aug 29, 2026NordlingenvsEintracht Bamberg