Match

Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportgelände Gebenbach, Gebenbach

GebenbachASV Neumarkt

The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt?

Gebenbach starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,708).

Gebenbach win67 %
Draw18 %
ASV Neumarkt win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gebenbach have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; ASV Neumarkt have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gebenbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ammerthal(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026DJK Bamberg(home)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Cham(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Neudrossenfeld(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stadeln(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(away)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Weiden(home)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 8, 2026Bayern Hof(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Kornburg(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gebenbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ASV Neumarkt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026ASV Neumarkt 5-2 GebenbachOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 10, 2025Gebenbach 2-0 ASV NeumarktOberliga - Bayern Nord
May 10, 2025ASV Neumarkt 0-3 GebenbachOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 11, 2024Gebenbach 3-0 ASV NeumarktOberliga - Bayern Nord
May 18, 2024ASV Neumarkt 1-4 GebenbachOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 28, 2023Gebenbach 6-1 ASV NeumarktOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: ASV Neumarkt vs Gebenbach on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gebenbach2.31.168/1510/15
ASV Neumarkt1.32.027/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gebenbach sit 4th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (53 points from 32 matches) and ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd (59 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ASV Neumarkt321859685059
4Gebenbach3216511534753

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt?
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for ASV Neumarkt.
Where and when is Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt played?
Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportgelände Gebenbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gebenbach and ASV Neumarkt

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