Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab AI model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 0-0. If Termoli Calcio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,725) and Fossombrone (1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fossombrone have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Termoli Calcio wins, 2 draws, 2 Fossombrone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 0-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Fossombrone 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Fossombrone 0-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 3-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fossombrone score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Fossombrone | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (12 points from 10 matches) and Fossombrone sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 14 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.