Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,670) and Fossombrone (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fossombrone have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sammaurese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Termoli Calcio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Fossombrone win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 0-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Fossombrone 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Fossombrone 0-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 3-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Fossombrone 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fossombrone score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Fossombrone | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (39 points from 34 matches) and Fossombrone sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
- The Footlab model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.