Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Vigor Senigallia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Atletico Ascoli (1,781) and Vigor Senigallia (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Ascoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vigor Senigallia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Ascoli wins, 3 draws, 0 Vigor Senigallia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 1-2 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 2-2 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Atletico Ascoli 2-1 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vigor Senigallia 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 2-2 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Vigor Senigallia 0-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Ascoli score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Senigallia score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Vigor Senigallia | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Ascoli sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 10 matches) and Vigor Senigallia sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Vigor Senigallia.
- Where and when is Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia played?
- Atletico Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.