Fram vs Råde: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Framparken, Larvik
The Footlab model makes Råde the favourite at 56%, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Fram. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fram vs Råde?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Fram (1,618) and Råde (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fram have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Råde have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | jerv(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lyn II(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elverum(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Follo(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(home) | 8-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fram win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Råde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Råde 6-0 Fram | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fram score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Råde score 3.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fram | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Råde | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fram sit 12th in 3. Division - Girone 6 (15 points from 16 matches) and Råde sit 3rd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Råde | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 60 | 29 | 32 |
| 12 | Fram | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fram vs Råde?
- The Footlab model makes Råde the favourite at 56%, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Fram.
- Where and when is Fram vs Råde played?
- Fram vs Råde is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Framparken, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.