Lillehammer vs Bjørkelangen: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stampesletta, Lillehammer
The Footlab model makes Lillehammer the favourite at 91%, against 6% for a draw and 3% for Bjørkelangen. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillehammer vs Bjørkelangen?
Lillehammer is a heavy favourite: 1,742 Elo points against 1,407 — a 335-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillehammer have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Bjørkelangen have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 2-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lyn II(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandefjord II(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oppsal(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Råde(away) | 1-8 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fram(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Lillehammer win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bjørkelangen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Bjørkelangen 1-2 Lillehammer | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Bjørkelangen 0-1 Lillehammer | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Lillehammer 2-0 Bjørkelangen | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bjørkelangen vs Lillehammer on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillehammer score 3.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bjørkelangen score 0.7 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillehammer | 3.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Bjørkelangen | 0.7 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillehammer sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 6 (41 points from 16 matches) and Bjørkelangen sit 14th (3 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 21 | 41 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 56 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillehammer vs Bjørkelangen?
- The Footlab model makes Lillehammer the favourite at 91%, against 6% for a draw and 3% for Bjørkelangen.
- Where and when is Lillehammer vs Bjørkelangen played?
- Lillehammer vs Bjørkelangen is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stampesletta, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.