Francavilla vs Paganese: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 5Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
Full time
What was the result of Francavilla vs Paganese?
Paganese won 1-3 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 23′V. LabriolaPaganese
- 43′L. LombardiPaganese
- 56′577650Francavilla
- 64′577650Paganese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Paganese have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Barletta(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ferrandina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Pompei(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Manfredonia(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nola 1925(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Real Acerrana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Heraclea(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Nardò(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ischia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Paganese | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francavilla sit 11th in Serie D - Girone H (43 points from 34 matches) and Paganese sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy