Heraclea vs Afragolese: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 5Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
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What was the result of Heraclea vs Afragolese?
Afragolese won 1-3 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′577662Afragolese
- 48′577663Afragolese
- 55′A. SchenettiHeraclea
- 75′577663Afragolese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Heraclea have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Afragolese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gravina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Città di Fasano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Paganese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Pompei(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nola 1925(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sarnese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Città di Fasano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Savoia(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Heraclea score 0.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 6; Afragolese score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heraclea | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3 | 2/6 | 1/6 |
| Afragolese | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heraclea sit 15th in Serie D - Girone H (38 points from 34 matches) and Afragolese sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 46 | 49 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | 38 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy