Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Staro Oryahovo, Staro Oryahovo
The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Fratria II. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Chernomorets Balchik is a heavy favourite: 1,752 Elo points against 1,246, a 505-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fratria II
Not enough data to predict the Fratria II lineup.
Chernomorets Balchik
4-3-3- AAdjeil Neves
- AA. Nakov
- CCassiano Bouzon
- VVladislav Danchev Georgiev
- NN. Fonkeu
- SS. Mitev
- YY. Radev
- NN. Yankov
- II. Minchev
- PP. Ivanov
- GG. Grigorov
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 11:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria II have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Chernomorets Balchik have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 1-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fratria II wins, 1 draw, 3 Chernomorets Balchik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik 3-0 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Fratria II 0-1 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| May 11, 2025 | Fratria II 0-3 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Chernomorets Balchik 2-2 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets Balchik vs Fratria II on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria II score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets Balchik score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria II | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Chernomorets Balchik | 2.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria II sit 16th in Third League - Northeast (9 points from 12 matches) and Chernomorets Balchik sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 9 |
A question about Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Fratria II.
- Where and when is Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik played?
- Fratria II vs Chernomorets Balchik is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Staro Oryahovo, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.