Match

Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena

FratriaCSKA Sofia II

The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for CSKA Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Fratria (1,725) and CSKA Sofia II (1,737).

Fratria win41 %
Draw27 %
CSKA Sofia II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; CSKA Sofia II have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fratria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Beroe(home)2-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Marek(home)0-1Second League
Jul 10, 2026Yantra 2019(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
CSKA Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 17, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Hebar 1918(home)4-3Second League
Aug 3, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)3-0Second League
Jul 28, 2026Vihren(away)1-1Second League
Jul 11, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fratria win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CSKA Sofia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Fratria 2-2 CSKA Sofia IISecond League
Oct 24, 2025CSKA Sofia II 1-0 FratriaSecond League
Feb 23, 2025CSKA Sofia II 4-1 FratriaSecond League
Aug 12, 2024Fratria 0-2 CSKA Sofia IISecond League

Last archived meeting: Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fratria1.70.868/157/15
CSKA Sofia II1.90.976/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fratria sit 4th in Second League (9 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2CSKA Sofia II43109410
4Fratria4301519

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II?
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for CSKA Sofia II.
Where and when is Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II played?
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fratria and CSKA Sofia II

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