Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for CSKA Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Fratria (1,725) and CSKA Sofia II (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; CSKA Sofia II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fratria win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CSKA Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fratria 2-2 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 1-0 Fratria | Second League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 4-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Fratria 0-2 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 4th in Second League (9 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for CSKA Sofia II.
- Where and when is Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II played?
- Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026NesebarvsYantra 2019
- Aug 29, 2026Sportist SvogevsMarek
- Aug 29, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsBeroe
- Aug 29, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Ludogorets IIvsHebar 1918
- Aug 29, 2026DobrudzhavsRilski Sportist
- Aug 30, 2026MontanavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Aug 30, 2026Spartak PlevenvsVihren