Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652) and Beroe (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Beroe have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Beroe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2024 | Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Beroe 3-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Beroe 1-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 Beroe | First League |
| Apr 12, 2021 | Beroe 1-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Jun 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 1st in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe?
- The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Beroe.
- Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe played?
- Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Sportist SvogevsMarek
- Aug 29, 2026NesebarvsYantra 2019
- Aug 29, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026FratriavsCSKA Sofia II
- Aug 29, 2026Ludogorets IIvsHebar 1918
- Aug 29, 2026DobrudzhavsRilski Sportist
- Aug 30, 2026MontanavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Aug 30, 2026Spartak PlevenvsVihren