Match

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo

Etar Veliko TarnovoBeroe

The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652) and Beroe (1,658).

Etar Veliko Tarnovo win46 %
Draw28 %
Beroe win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Beroe have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-2Second League
Aug 15, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 3, 2026Yantra 2019(home)2-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Nesebar(away)5-1Second League
Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League
Jul 18, 2026Zagorets(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Beroe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 26, 2024Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFriendlies Clubs
Apr 29, 2024Beroe 3-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFirst League
Dec 11, 2023Beroe 0-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFirst League
Sep 8, 2023Beroe 1-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoFriendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2023Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 BeroeFirst League
Apr 12, 2021Beroe 1-2 Etar Veliko TarnovoFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on Jun 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1.71.739/158/15
Beroe1.01.156/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 1st in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Etar Veliko Tarnovo531110510
11Beroe4202446

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe?
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Beroe.
Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe played?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Beroe is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Beroe

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