Sportist Svoge vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Marek?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Sportist Svoge (1,546) and Marek (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportist Svoge win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Marek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 3-3 Marek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Sportist Svoge 3-1 Marek | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Marek 0-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Marek 0-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Sportist Svoge 0-2 Marek | Second League |
| May 3, 2024 | Sportist Svoge 3-1 Marek | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Marek on Jan 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Marek?
- The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Marek played?
- Sportist Svoge vs Marek is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026NesebarvsYantra 2019
- Aug 29, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsBeroe
- Aug 29, 2026DobrudzhavsRilski Sportist
- Aug 29, 2026FratriavsCSKA Sofia II
- Aug 29, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Ludogorets IIvsHebar 1918
- Aug 30, 2026MontanavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Aug 30, 2026Spartak PlevenvsVihren