Match

Sportist Svoge vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge

Sportist SvogeMarek

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Marek?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Sportist Svoge (1,546) and Marek (1,631).

Sportist Svoge win33 %
Draw30 %
Marek win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportist Svoge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Yantra 2019(away)0-1Second League
Aug 16, 2026Nesebar(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)1-0Second League
Aug 2, 2026Dobrudzha(away)0-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Montana(home)2-2Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportist Svoge win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026Sportist Svoge 3-3 MarekFriendlies Clubs
Dec 7, 2025Sportist Svoge 3-1 MarekSecond League
Aug 2, 2025Marek 0-0 Sportist SvogeSecond League
Apr 26, 2025Marek 0-0 Sportist SvogeSecond League
Oct 24, 2024Sportist Svoge 0-2 MarekSecond League
May 3, 2024Sportist Svoge 3-1 MarekSecond League

Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Marek on Jan 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportist Svoge0.71.163/154/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Marek5203666
16Sportist Svoge5122345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Marek played?
Sportist Svoge vs Marek is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportist Svoge and Marek

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