Montana vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Montana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | Montana 1-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-3 Montana | Second League |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-1 Montana | Second League |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Montana 4-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-1 Montana | Second League |
| Apr 19, 2018 | Montana 1-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Montana vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on Dec 8, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 7th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
- Where and when is Montana vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa played?
- Montana vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Sportist SvogevsMarek
- Aug 29, 2026NesebarvsYantra 2019
- Aug 29, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsBeroe
- Aug 29, 2026FratriavsCSKA Sofia II
- Aug 29, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Ludogorets IIvsHebar 1918
- Aug 29, 2026DobrudzhavsRilski Sportist
- Aug 30, 2026Spartak PlevenvsVihren