SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for FC Astoria Walldorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FC Astoria Walldorf have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 SGV Freiberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Astoria Walldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 5, 2025 | FC Astoria Walldorf 1-3 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 17, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 2-1 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 16, 2024 | FC Astoria Walldorf 2-4 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 23, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Astoria Walldorf score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Astoria Walldorf | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and FC Astoria Walldorf sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for FC Astoria Walldorf.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf played?
- SGV Freiberg vs FC Astoria Walldorf is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsSV Sandhausen
- Oct 31, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsEintracht Trier
- Oct 31, 2026TSV SteinbachvsFSV Frankfurt
- Oct 31, 2026Freiburg IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Oct 31, 2026Hessen KasselvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Oct 31, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsVfR Aalen
- Oct 31, 2026VfR MannheimvsKaiserslautern II
- Oct 31, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsKickers Offenbach