Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
Freiburg II starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SSV Ulm 1846 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Freiburg II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Freiburg II 1-2 SSV Ulm 1846 | 3. Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | SSV Ulm 1846 2-1 Freiburg II | 3. Liga |
| May 26, 2021 | Freiburg II 3-0 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SSV Ulm 1846 2-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 26, 2019 | SSV Ulm 1846 1-3 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
- The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for SSV Ulm 1846.
- Where and when is Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846 played?
- Freiburg II vs SSV Ulm 1846 is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsSV Sandhausen
- Oct 31, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsEintracht Trier
- Oct 31, 2026TSV SteinbachvsFSV Frankfurt
- Oct 31, 2026Hessen KasselvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Oct 31, 2026SGV FreibergvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Oct 31, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsVfR Aalen
- Oct 31, 2026VfR MannheimvsKaiserslautern II
- Oct 31, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsKickers Offenbach