FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Homburg, Homburg
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier?
FC 08 Homburg starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 08 Homburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Eintracht Trier have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 0-6 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC 08 Homburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Eintracht Trier win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg 1-2 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Eintracht Trier 2-0 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 23, 2024 | FC 08 Homburg 0-1 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Eintracht Trier 4-1 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 12, 2023 | Eintracht Trier 1-4 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 5, 2022 | FC 08 Homburg 1-1 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Eintracht Trier | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC 08 Homburg sit 4th in Regionalliga - SudWest (6 points from 3 matches) and Eintracht Trier sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Eintracht Trier.
- Where and when is FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier played?
- FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Homburg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsSV Sandhausen
- Oct 31, 2026TSV SteinbachvsFSV Frankfurt
- Oct 31, 2026Freiburg IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Oct 31, 2026Hessen KasselvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Oct 31, 2026SGV FreibergvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Oct 31, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsVfR Aalen
- Oct 31, 2026VfR MannheimvsKaiserslautern II
- Oct 31, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsKickers Offenbach