FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for SV Sandhausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and SV Sandhausen (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SV Sandhausen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 4-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SV Sandhausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-3 SV Sandhausen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 18, 2025 | SV Sandhausen 2-2 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SV Sandhausen score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Sandhausen | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and SV Sandhausen sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SV Sandhausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for SV Sandhausen.
- Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen played?
- FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsEintracht Trier
- Oct 31, 2026TSV SteinbachvsFSV Frankfurt
- Oct 31, 2026Freiburg IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Oct 31, 2026Hessen KasselvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Oct 31, 2026SGV FreibergvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Oct 31, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsVfR Aalen
- Oct 31, 2026VfR MannheimvsKaiserslautern II
- Oct 31, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsKickers Offenbach