Match

FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05 IISV Sandhausen

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for SV Sandhausen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and SV Sandhausen (1,872).

FSV Mainz 05 II win39 %
Draw24 %
SV Sandhausen win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SV Sandhausen have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
SV Sandhausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)4-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026TSV Steinbach(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 25, 2026Wormatia Worms(away)6-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SV Sandhausen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II 1-3 SV SandhausenRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 18, 2025SV Sandhausen 2-2 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SV Sandhausen score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 05 II1.41.449/1510/15
SV Sandhausen2.12.0212/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and SV Sandhausen sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8SV Sandhausen3111784
13FSV Mainz 05 II3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen?
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for SV Sandhausen.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen played?
FSV Mainz 05 II vs SV Sandhausen is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FSV Mainz 05 II and SV Sandhausen

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