Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 24Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Rosières-près-Troyes
The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1. If Troyes II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Troyes II (1,816) and Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Troyes II
4-3-3- 3A. Ouzenadji
- 9E. Misse
- 7W. Pierrilus
- 8S. Diarra
- 11A. Moembo
- 6A. Diallo
- 10M. Evangelisti
- 5N. Deheppe
- 2N. Donkor
- 11F. Ondoa Onambele
- 1A. Touré
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troyes II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(home) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Troyes II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troyes II sit 8th in National 2 - Group C (10 points from 7 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Troyes II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Troyes II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.