Friburguense vs Serrano RJ: result 1-0 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 3Kick-off on September 21, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Eduardo Guinle, Nova Friburgo, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Friburguense vs Serrano RJ?
Friburguense won 1-0 on September 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 86′Léo ReisFriburguense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friburguense have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Serrano RJ have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Nova Cidade(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 6, 2024 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Paduano(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Pérolas Negras(home) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Nova Cidade(away) | 2-3 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Friburguense win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Serrano RJ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Friburguense 0-0 Serrano RJ | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Serrano RJ 2-0 Friburguense | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 5, 2019 | Serrano RJ 1-0 Friburguense | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Friburguense vs Serrano RJ on Oct 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Friburguense score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano RJ score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friburguense | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Serrano RJ | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friburguense sit 12th in Carioca - 2 (4 points from 11 matches) and Serrano RJ sit 3rd (18 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy