Match

Frome Town vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset

Frome TownBerkhamsted

The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Berkhamsted. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Frome Town vs Berkhamsted?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,877) and Berkhamsted (1,814).

Frome Town win53 %
Draw23 %
Berkhamsted win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Berkhamsted
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Poole Town(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Taunton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 29, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

How many goals should we expect?

Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15
Berkhamsted1.71.368/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Frome Town4202736
20Berkhamsted4103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Berkhamsted?
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Berkhamsted.
Where and when is Frome Town vs Berkhamsted played?
Frome Town vs Berkhamsted is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Frome Town and Berkhamsted

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