Match

Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London

UxbridgeBerkhamsted

The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Berkhamsted. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,819) and Berkhamsted (1,814).

Uxbridge win47 %
Draw24 %
Berkhamsted win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uxbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Taunton Town(home)5-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Havant & Wville(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chippenham Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Poole Town(home)3-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Berkhamsted
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Poole Town(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Taunton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 29, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Uxbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Berkhamsted win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 20, 2026Berkhamsted 3-0 UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 9, 2025Uxbridge 2-1 BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge on Jan 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uxbridge2.61.3510/1510/15
Berkhamsted1.71.368/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Uxbridge431010510
20Berkhamsted4103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted?
The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Berkhamsted.
Where and when is Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted played?
Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Uxbridge and Berkhamsted

Ready to know everything about football?