Hanwell Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Powerday Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Hanwell Town the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanwell Town vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hanwell Town (1,752) and Yate Town (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanwell Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hanwell Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Yate Town 2-0 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hanwell Town 3-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Hanwell Town 3-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Yate Town 2-3 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Hanwell Town on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hanwell Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (5 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanwell Town vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hanwell Town the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Hanwell Town vs Yate Town played?
- Hanwell Town vs Yate Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Powerday Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Havant & WvillevsGosport Borough
- Jan 16, 2027Frome TownvsBerkhamsted
- Jan 16, 2027Basingstoke TownvsChichester City
- Jan 16, 2027Bracknell TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 16, 2027Chertsey TownvsTaunton Town
- Jan 16, 2027Evesham UnitedvsSholing
- Jan 16, 2027Poole TownvsHanworth Villa
- Jan 16, 2027Gloucester CityvsUxbridge