Match

Hanwell Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Powerday Stadium, London

Hanwell TownYate Town

The Footlab model makes Hanwell Town the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hanwell Town vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hanwell Town (1,752) and Yate Town (1,774).

Hanwell Town win42 %
Draw27 %
Yate Town win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanwell Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hanwell Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gloucester City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Sholing(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Malvern Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 25, 2026Aldershot Town(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hanwell Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Yate Town 2-0 Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 16, 2025Hanwell Town 3-0 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 7, 2023Hanwell Town 3-1 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 13, 2022Yate Town 2-3 Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Hanwell Town on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hanwell Town1.11.246/156/15
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hanwell Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (5 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
13Hanwell Town4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hanwell Town vs Yate Town?
The Footlab model makes Hanwell Town the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Yate Town.
Where and when is Hanwell Town vs Yate Town played?
Hanwell Town vs Yate Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Powerday Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hanwell Town and Yate Town

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