Malvern Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Frome Town?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Frome Town (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Malvern Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Frome Town 2-1 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Malvern Town 1-6 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Frome Town 4-0 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Malvern Town 1-3 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Malvern Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Frome Town played?
- Malvern Town vs Frome Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanworth Villa
- Oct 17, 2026BerkhamstedvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bracknell TownvsChichester City
- Oct 17, 2026Evesham UnitedvsTaunton Town
- Oct 17, 2026Hanwell TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 17, 2026SholingvsUxbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Gosport BoroughvsChertsey Town
- Oct 17, 2026Chippenham TownvsPoole Town