Match

Malvern Town vs Frome Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire

Malvern TownFrome Town

The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malvern Town vs Frome Town?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Frome Town (1,882).

Malvern Town win22 %
Draw21 %
Frome Town win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Malvern Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Frome Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Frome Town 2-1 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Oct 25, 2025Malvern Town 1-6 Frome TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Feb 10, 2024Frome Town 4-0 Malvern TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Nov 4, 2023Malvern Town 1-3 Frome TownNon League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Malvern Town on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Frome Town4202736
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Frome Town?
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Malvern Town.
Where and when is Malvern Town vs Frome Town played?
Malvern Town vs Frome Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Malvern Town and Frome Town

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