Frýdek-Místek vs Sigma Olomouc II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Stovky, Frýdek-Místek
The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Frýdek-Místek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Sigma Olomouc II?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Frýdek-Místek (1,844) and Sigma Olomouc II (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdek-Místek have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Sigma Olomouc II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vsetín(away) | 5-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frýdek-Místek win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sigma Olomouc II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc II 0-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Frýdek-Místek 1-0 Sigma Olomouc II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Sigma Olomouc II 2-0 Frýdek-Místek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Sigma Olomouc II 3-0 Frýdek-Místek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Frýdek-Místek 0-3 Sigma Olomouc II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Sigma Olomouc II 7-0 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Sigma Olomouc II vs Frýdek-Místek on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sigma Olomouc II score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sigma Olomouc II | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frýdek-Místek sit 7th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Sigma Olomouc II sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sigma Olomouc II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdek-Místek vs Sigma Olomouc II?
- The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Frýdek-Místek.
- Where and when is Frýdek-Místek vs Sigma Olomouc II played?
- Frýdek-Místek vs Sigma Olomouc II is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stovky, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.