Vrchovina vs Karviná II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Nové Město na Moravě, Nové Město na Moravě
The Footlab model makes Vrchovina the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Karviná II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vrchovina vs Karviná II?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Vrchovina (1,771) and Karviná II (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vrchovina have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karviná II have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Líšeň II(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vrchovina win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Karviná II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Karviná II 2-3 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Vrchovina 3-0 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Karviná II vs Vrchovina on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vrchovina score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vrchovina | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vrchovina sit 9th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Karviná II sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vrchovina vs Karviná II?
- The Footlab model makes Vrchovina the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Karviná II.
- Where and when is Vrchovina vs Karviná II played?
- Vrchovina vs Karviná II is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nové Město na Moravě, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.