Karviná II vs Zlín II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kovona, Karviná
The Footlab model makes Zlín II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Karviná II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná II vs Zlín II?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Karviná II (1,693) and Zlín II (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Zlín II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hodonín(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vrchovina(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovácko II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karviná II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Zlín II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Zlín II 2-1 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Karviná II 3-0 Zlín II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| May 31, 2025 | Zlín II 3-2 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Karviná II 1-2 Zlín II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| May 12, 2024 | Karviná II 0-1 Zlín II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Zlín II 1-1 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Zlín II vs Karviná II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zlín II score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Zlín II | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karviná II sit 6th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Zlín II sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Zlín II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná II vs Zlín II?
- The Footlab model makes Zlín II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Karviná II.
- Where and when is Karviná II vs Zlín II played?
- Karviná II vs Zlín II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kovona, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.