Frýdlant vs Šumperk: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FGroup F - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 1. BFK Frýdlant, Frýdlant nad Ostravicí
The Footlab model makes Šumperk the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Frýdlant. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdlant vs Šumperk?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Frýdlant (1,527) and Šumperk (1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdlant have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Šumperk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kravare(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nový Jičín(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Opava(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pustá Polom(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TJ Bystrice(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frydek-Mistek B(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Vratimov(away) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 3-6 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Frýdlant win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Šumperk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Frýdlant 0-2 Šumperk | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Šumperk 0-0 Frýdlant | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdlant score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Šumperk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdlant | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Šumperk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frýdlant sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie F (0 points from 2 matches) and Šumperk sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdlant vs Šumperk?
- The Footlab model makes Šumperk the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Frýdlant.
- Where and when is Frýdlant vs Šumperk played?
- Frýdlant vs Šumperk is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 1. BFK Frýdlant, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.