Stonava vs Vratimov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FGroup F - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vratimov the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Stonava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stonava vs Vratimov?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Stonava (1,675) and Vratimov (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stonava have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Vratimov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kravare(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nový Jičín(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Petřvald na Moravě(away) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frydek-Mistek B(away) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Šumperk(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stonava win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vratimov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stonava 1-0 Vratimov | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vratimov 3-1 Stonava | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Stonava score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vratimov score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonava | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Vratimov | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stonava sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie F (1 points from 2 matches) and Vratimov sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vratimov | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Vratimov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stonava vs Vratimov?
- The Footlab model makes Vratimov the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Stonava.
- Where and when is Stonava vs Vratimov played?
- Stonava vs Vratimov is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.