Zabreh vs Nový Jičín: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FGroup F - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion Zábřeh, Zábřeh na Morave
The Footlab model makes Zabreh the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Nový Jičín. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabreh vs Nový Jičín?
Zabreh starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabreh have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nový Jičín have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pustá Polom(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bílovec(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ráječko(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Břidličná(away) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 2-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Zabreh win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nový Jičín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Zabreh 7-2 Nový Jičín | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Nový Jičín 1-1 Zabreh | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Zabreh score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nový Jičín score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabreh | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Nový Jičín | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zabreh sit 3rd in 4. liga - Divizie F (6 points from 2 matches) and Nový Jičín sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zabreh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Zabreh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Nový Jičín | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabreh vs Nový Jičín?
- The Footlab model makes Zabreh the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Nový Jičín.
- Where and when is Zabreh vs Nový Jičín played?
- Zabreh vs Nový Jičín is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion Zábřeh, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.