FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: result 2-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on March 17, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Zemgales Olimpiskā centra, Jelgava
Full time
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava won 2-1 on March 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′R. NəsirliBFC Daugavpils
- 21′D. PatijčuksFS Jelgava (pen.)
- 58′Valērijs RedjkoFS Jelgava
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FS Jelgava have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; BFC Daugavpils have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | Riga(away) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Panevėžys(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Kuressaare(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Banga(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | Tukums(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Super Nova(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FS Jelgava score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Daugavpils score 0.8 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FS Jelgava sit 7th in Virsliga (28 points from 27 matches) and BFC Daugavpils sit 4th (37 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 37 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 46 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy