FS Jelgava vs Super Nova: result 2-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular season - 5Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Zemgales Olimpiskā centra, Jelgava
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What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
FS Jelgava won 2-1 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′R. BecersFS Jelgava
- 49′K. PenkevicsFS Jelgava
- 68′Ruslans DeruzinskisSuper Nova
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FS Jelgava have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Super Nova have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Auda(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Riga(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Grobiņa(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | Tukums(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Metta / LU(home) | 4-0 | Virsliga |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Riga(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Trans Narva(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 FS Jelgava win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Super Nova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Super Nova 1-1 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| Jul 9, 2023 | FS Jelgava 2-2 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| May 18, 2023 | Super Nova 2-2 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| Apr 5, 2023 | FS Jelgava 2-0 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Jan 21, 2023 | FS Jelgava 2-0 Super Nova | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Super Nova vs FS Jelgava on Oct 1, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FS Jelgava score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Super Nova score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Super Nova | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FS Jelgava sit 7th in Virsliga (28 points from 27 matches) and Super Nova sit 6th (28 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Super Nova | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 37 | 28 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 46 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy