FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab AI model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1. If TSV Steinbach wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,874) and TSV Steinbach (1,950).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FSV Mainz 05 II
Not enough data to predict the FSV Mainz 05 II lineup.
TSV Steinbach
Not enough data to predict the TSV Steinbach lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; TSV Steinbach have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win, 2 draws, 3 TSV Steinbach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II 3-1 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 30, 2025 | TSV Steinbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-4 TSV Steinbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 21, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 14, 2024 | TSV Steinbach 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 TSV Steinbach | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Steinbach score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| TSV Steinbach | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Mainz 05 II sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (14 points from 14 matches) and TSV Steinbach sit 10th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TSV Steinbach | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 17 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 14 |
A question about FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach played?
- FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SV SandhausenvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Nov 21, 2026VfR AalenvsFC 08 Homburg
- Nov 21, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsFreiburg II
- Nov 21, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Nov 21, 2026Eintracht TriervsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Nov 21, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsVfR Mannheim
- Nov 21, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsKaiserslautern II
- Nov 21, 2026Hessen KasselvsSGV Freiberg