Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach played?

FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05 II

TSV Steinbach

The Footlab model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and TSV Steinbach (1,965).

FSV Mainz 05 II win35 %

Draw23 %

TSV Steinbach win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; TSV Steinbach have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05 II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026	Kreuzlingen(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

TSV Steinbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	VfR Aalen(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	SV Sandhausen(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 31, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(home)	2-8	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 TSV Steinbach win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 II 3-1 TSV Steinbach	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 30, 2025	TSV Steinbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 1-4 TSV Steinbach	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 21, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 TSV Steinbach	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 14, 2024	TSV Steinbach 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Feb 17, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 TSV Steinbach	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 05 II	1.4	1.4	4	9/15	10/15
TSV Steinbach	2.5	1.9	4	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and TSV Steinbach sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	TSV Steinbach	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
13	FSV Mainz 05 II	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?: The Footlab model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach played?: FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.