Where and when is VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg played?

VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen

VfR Aalen

FC 08 Homburg

The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for VfR Aalen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,969) and FC 08 Homburg (2,012).

VfR Aalen win37 %

Draw24 %

FC 08 Homburg win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; FC 08 Homburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Aalen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	TSV Steinbach(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026	Freiburg II(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC 08 Homburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Sandhausen(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Reutlingen(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfR Aalen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC 08 Homburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 18, 2023	VfR Aalen 1-6 FC 08 Homburg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 6, 2023	FC 08 Homburg 1-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Mar 4, 2023	VfR Aalen 1-3 FC 08 Homburg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 28, 2022	FC 08 Homburg 2-0 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 2, 2022	VfR Aalen 4-0 FC 08 Homburg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 9, 2021	FC 08 Homburg 0-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg on Nov 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfR Aalen	2.2	1.0	6	8/15	9/15
FC 08 Homburg	1.9	1.6	1	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and FC 08 Homburg sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	FC 08 Homburg	3	2	0	1	5	5	6
15	VfR Aalen	3	0	2	1	2	5	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg?: The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for VfR Aalen.
Where and when is VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg played?: VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.