FSV Mainz 05 vs Fiorentina: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on November 6, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)MEWA ARENA, Mainz
Full time
What was the result of FSV Mainz 05 vs Fiorentina?
FSV Mainz 05 won 2-1 on November 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′S. SohmFiorentina
- 68′B. HollerbachFSV Mainz 05
- 90′Lee Jae-SungFSV Mainz 05
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fiorentina have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Werder Bremen(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Oct 26, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Zrinjski(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lecce(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Inter(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bologna(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | AC Milan(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Mainz 05 score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fiorentina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Mainz 05 sit 7th in UEFA Europa Conference League (13 points from 6 matches) and Fiorentina sit 15th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy