Where and when is Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC played?

Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima United

Tochigi SC

The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,673) and Tochigi SC (1,729).

Fukushima United win37 %

Draw26 %

Tochigi SC win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tochigi SC have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fukushima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tochigi SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 12, 2025	Tochigi SC 1-0 Fukushima United	J3 League
Jun 15, 2025	Fukushima United 2-2 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Oct 22, 2017	Fukushima United 0-2 Tochigi SC	J3 League
May 21, 2017	Tochigi SC 2-1 Fukushima United	J3 League
Oct 16, 2016	Tochigi SC 3-1 Fukushima United	J3 League
Apr 10, 2016	Fukushima United 2-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United on Oct 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fukushima United	1.8	1.7	2	10/15	10/15
Tochigi SC	1.0	1.2	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC?: The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC played?: Fukushima United vs Tochigi SC is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.